Being alive is deadly. Walk in the woods and a tree branch might have your name on it. Fly in an airplane, and if the altitude goes into minus numbers you're dead. Take a ship and, well, it can sink. Any maritime casualty (technically meaning an "accident" involving the vessel) is going to result in death or injury. Wishing and hoping for an alternative is human nature, but we're all gonna die and some in worse ways than others.
Forensic models and especially computer models are fraught with danger when it comes to predicting real life. You might want to watch the movie "Sully" to get an understanding of that. He was the pilot who landed safely in the Hudson River after losing all power as the result of bird strikes. His situation was dramatized for effect, but in truth the NTSB did at first put more faith in computer models and simulations based on faulty data than it did on the straightforward testimony of the pilots involved. Had all the "out thinkers" with "better ideas" been flying the airplane, they would have turned it into a ball of flame rolling through New York City. This is why you never second-guess the man (or women these days) on the scene, at the controls, or in command of the situation.
Titanic was not an Italian sports car. It maneuvered at best like a hog on ice and at worst like an ugly hog. The ship was designed to go forward in a more-or-less straight line and be docked by tugs. Maneuverability was not necessary. Under sternway keeping the ship going in one direction would have worn out a bo's'un's lexicon of foul language. Even at a measly four knots it would have been attempting manslaughter to launch a lifeboat full of people. I would expect overturned lifeboats as the result of jammed release hooks. Ugly scene. So stopping would have been necessary even if the reverse gambit were played. However, instead of just over an hour to get boats down, they would have had 35 or 45 minutes. That would most likely have reduced the survival number to under 500 souls. "Sorry, Mrs. Jones, we didn't have time to launch your boat. Have a nice swim."
Keep in mind that all of the hard lifeboats were properly launched. Of the passengers and crew who did get into those lifeboats, none were killed or even seriously injured. The lifesaving effort in that respect was 100% successful, even if inadequate. No matter how you look at it, however, Smith cannot be second guessed for attempting to get Titanic's boats on the water safely with as many people as possible. Had he not stayed focused on his primary task -- saving as many lives as possible, we might be talking about "the man who survived Titanic when all others drowned."
None of this means we shouldn't learn from our past errors. As pilots say, "Safety is written in blood." Titanic's dead would have died in vain if nothing changed to make ocean travel safer. Titanic's memorial is the International Ice Patrol keeping track on icebergs and issuing regular and timely updates on their positions. Adding lifeboats is not any sort of a memorial to Titanic's victims. Sure to make things more successful in future Titanic-like incidents -- or at least give the appearance of doing so -- public laws were passed requiring 1 seat in a lifeboat for everyone on board. Well, not really because the crew sometimes gets left out of that equation. But, did it make things safer? Not necessarily so. On today's passenger vessels crews are taught not to say anything if the ship is listing to the point of making boats unusable. It's only when all the low side boats are gone that the truth dawns. Half the people have a seat in a boat, but that boat is fundamentally useless.
Remember Andrea Doria? It took hours to sink, but that was scant help to half the people on board. Sure, they had seats in all those lifeboars up there on the high side where they couldn't be launched. Having a seat and being saved aren't the shame thing. So, the rulemakers forced locating boats lower on the hull to make launching possible at higher angles of heel. Good idea, but we still don't have a real-life example of its effectiveness.
-- David G. Brown