Inger wrote:
>..... George, I believe it
>is very possible that Fleet and Lee made comments to people on the
>Carpathia that they had given warnings to the bridge prior to the final
>call (reports vary slightly, so either they were telling different
>versions, or the people hearing the story added their own errors in
>relating it, or the reporters garbled it - all are possible).
Hi, Inger!
I agree completely.
>However, a point to consider is that these men were not disinterested
>witnesses. They were male crew survivors - bad enough. They were also
>the lookouts on duty when the collision occured. Can you imagine
>explaining *that* little fact to the passengers?
>Repeating such stories under oath would, however, be another matter
>entirely. Hence the change in tales.
That is of course possible, and you might well be correct. However, it's just as possible that the lookouts changed their story under pressure from 'On High' (a scenario for which -- as you know -- there is circumstantial evidence.) Unless someone is able to uncover more evidence on the subject, though, it's a matter of our two alternate scenarios being "six of one and half-a-dozen of the other." Sadly, it's quite possible that we'll never know for certain which one of us is correct. (Who knows? It might even have been me.)
>From the material posted on this board and from my own discussions with
>merchant mariners (and my own experience sighting objects on dark nights
>at sea, limited though that experience is) any icebergs sighted under
>those conditions would have had to be very close to the ship.
No argument there. Regarding iceberg visibility, it would be interesting if someone would assess survivor interviews and determine how far away each lifeboat was in which specific crewmen saw Titanic's black silhouette after the ship's lights failed; we're almost certainly talking about figures in the hundreds of yards, but it would be helpful if someone were to do some original research on the subject. My guess is that the three 'early' icebergs would have been just as visible (or invisible) as was the Titanic after her lights failed.
>For
>Murdoch to pass not one but *three* and not alert the Captain would be
>beyond recklessness, even under the normal (read: 'occasionally
>hair-raising') standards in the mercantile marine of the era.
As you say, recklessness was accepted as a matter of course in those days . Murdoch was instructed to let Smith know if he had any doubt about the ship's safe operation, so whether or not Murdoch decided to alert Smith was completely dependent on how confident Murdoch was in his *own* ability to keep the ship safe. (You've emphasized to me in the past that Murdoch was a very confident officer, so it can't be denied that it's possible he might have unintentionally 'overreached' himself that night.) Unfortunately, all we know for certain is that the ship didn't slow down.
> The risk - ...... - of damage to the new ship on her maiden
>voyage outweighed the benefits to be derived from beating the Olympic's
>maiden voyage crossing time.
No argument there. Prudence dictated that Titanic's officers should have considered reducing the ship's speed at 11 p.m. -- the time at which ice was *expected* to appear ahead of the ship. (After all, Murdoch must have known that Titanic risked striking the very first iceberg she encountered -- which is exactly what happened according to the 'accepted' scenario.) The fact that the ship didn't slow down shows that *somebody* must have been pretty confident in Titanic's ability to avoid icebergs and decided that a post-11 p.m. speed reduction was completely unnecessary. ("Let's wait until things get unacceptably hairy before we slow down.") Needless to say, it was a very poor decision that cost a lot of people their lives.
>I find your theory interesting, but second hand reports of the lookout's
>comments....... are insufficient to permit me
>as a researcher to readily charge William Murdoch and James
Moody with
>the manslaughter of 1,500 people.
I have not "readily" made such charges -- all I've done is gather together some interesting historical information and point out that the information *might* be true. Since neither of our two interpretations of these events is impossible, Inger, it is to be hoped that other researchers will at least take the trouble to actually *research* the subject before they dismiss either interpretation as impossible; indeed, any ironclad judgements rendered in the *absence* of such new information are just subjective opinions expressed with vigor -- and that isn't good enough.
By the way, Inger, I don't charge Moody with anything, since for all practical purposes he was a non-entity in the scenario in question.
All my best,
George