Would there be a possibility for the bow to simply break away instead of the third diagram?
It does not take much to break a ship's back. In calm weather tankers and freighters break their backs due to misplaced cargo, and uneven ballast distribution.
In 1943 just 16 days after the SS Schenectady was completed she suddenly broke in two while moored in calm waters. Cold weather and low grade metal were blamed for the breakage.
My cousin worked on the big blue funnel tankers for decades and when we discussed the Titanic breaking and how the survivors saw her rolling from side to side, twisting, and breaking in the middle, he was confident by their descriptions that the water rushing in various decks along her midships was more than sufficient to unsettle the ship and cause her to rock, fracture, and break, just like a tanker loaded with uneven ballast or cargo. They can break so easily in calm waters, and the slightest roll can create a rocking motion which continuously rocks the ship from side to side owing to the water inside dipping, and rising and pushing the ship from side to side into a dangerous roll that accelerates the breaking of the ship.
Correcting the ballast levels is essential to prevent a long ship like the Titanic from breaking amidships.
Miss Glynn
"We watched the Titanic rolling and bobbing like a cork. All her lights were burning, and over the water we caught the strains of 'Nearer, My God, to Thee. Finally Titanic ceased rolling, seemed to hesitate a moment, and plunged her bow into the ocean."
2nd officer
Lightoller
"....Reeling for a moment, then plunging."
John Haggan
"The ship was shaking very much."
Mr. Barkworth
"I remember somebody shouted: 'Go gently!' as if a sudden shift of weight would have disturbed the ship's position."
Colonel Gracie
"There was a very palpable list to port as if the ship was about to topple over. 'All passengers to the starboard side,' was
Lightoller's loud command, heard by all of us."
Samuel Hemming
"The captain was there, and he sung out: "Everyone over to the starboard side, to keep the ship up as long as possible."
.